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Oil Crisis Monitor
Updated: Sep 16, 2026 — 4:40 AM MT
Strait of Hormuz
199
Days
Day 199 — Omani authorities said the Panama-flagged tanker El Gaia is being towed to port after an engine-room fire was brought under control about 103 nautical miles northeast of Musandam, with two crew still missing and 23 evacuated by a Royal Navy of Oman vessel (gCaptain and The Maritime Executive, Sep 15-16). The IRGC said the ship struck a mine; US Central Command said Iran had attacked it twice. Neither account is confirmed. The Congressional Budget Office put the war's direct Pentagon cost at $38B through July and projected it will add about 0.5 percentage points to US consumption inflation in 1Q27. Houthi forces took the Greater and Lesser Hanish islands in the southern Red Sea. IMF PortWatch's published day advanced to Sep 13 at eight Hormuz transits. AAA's national diesel average set a 13th consecutive record at $6.3103/gal and California diesel set a fresh state record at $8.2668/gal.
Day 199: Two crew remain missing as Oman tows the fire-damaged tanker El Gaia to port; the CBO put the war's direct Pentagon cost at $38B through July.
Brent Crude
+47.3% since closure
$107.73
/bbl
Today: −$1.02 (−0.9%)
U.S. Gas Avg
+45.6% since closure
$4.37
/gal
Today: +$0.04 (+0.9%)
WTI Crude
+50.3% since closure
$103.72
/bbl
Today: −$2.11 (−2.0%)
Next
EIA weekly petroleum report — first SPR read in 14 days
Today
Sep 16
USMCA Tariffs
25% IEEPA + 232 duties
IN EFFECT
168
Day
2026 SAAR Forecast
15.8–16.8M
▼ 16.4M
prev. forecast
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