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Oil Crisis Monitor
Updated: Sep 21, 2026 — 4:45 AM MT
Strait of Hormuz
204
Days
Day 204 — 14 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday and Sunday, down from 36 the previous weekend: 11 exited, three entered, seven departures took the Iranian route and some crossed with transponders off (preliminary Kpler data, via The National, Sep 21). Saudi crude exports recovered to more than 4M bpd so far in September from 2.4M bpd in August, the lowest since at least 2013, after Aramco concentrated loadings at Ras Tanura and Juaymah and moved barrels through the strait it had been bypassing (Kpler provisional data, via Reuters); JPMorgan put Saudi volumes through Hormuz at 2.9M b/d over six days against 700,000 b/d in August. Houthi forces said they struck sites in Riyadh and an Aramco facility at Yanbu with missiles and drones on Saturday; the Saudi-led coalition said the attack was intercepted with no casualties or damage. Crude fell more than 2% to a two-week low. AAA's national diesel average set an eighteenth consecutive record at $6.5107, while California diesel eased for the first day in the run. On the water, straits.live counts 493 vessels holding position away from berth, up 150 on the figure seven days earlier.
Day 204: weekend transits through the strait halved to 14 from 36 on preliminary Kpler data, while Saudi exports recovered above 4M bpd by rerouting through Hormuz itself.
Brent Crude
+39.1% since closure
$101.71
/bbl
Today: −$2.16 (−2.1%)
U.S. Gas Avg
+49.3% since closure
$4.48
/gal
Today: +0.1%
WTI Crude
+42.2% since closure
$98.15
/bbl
Today: −$2.15 (−2.1%)
Next
IMF PortWatch weekly row — does transit leave single digits?
1 day
Sep 22
USMCA Tariffs
25% IEEPA + 232 duties
IN EFFECT
173
Day
2026 SAAR Forecast
15.8–16.8M
▼ 16.4M
prev. forecast
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